Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-13 181.276436 202.641784 226.097893 253.859866 285.948089 322.022413 365.858348
2025-04-20 152.932778 182.454926 217.609295 262.980648 320.604212 392.186577 489.167021
2025-04-27 138.077226 172.070445 214.844201 273.489494 353.189632 459.803164 616.845040
2025-05-04 124.029365 159.768588 206.683833 274.125936 370.885198 508.416365 725.812282
2025-05-11 110.845097 146.582189 195.108074 267.598545 376.362199 539.066731 812.409865
2025-05-18 100.636125 136.131022 185.765331 262.464371 382.241442 569.951973 903.676205
2025-05-25 95.671918 132.395177 185.295784 269.925352 407.697239 634.481942 1063.084609
2025-06-01 89.318754 125.956873 180.058424 269.177313 419.507216 677.756597 1193.023000
2025-06-08 82.853695 118.743846 172.883740 264.363721 423.581143 707.724626 1303.325633
2025-06-15 78.345412 114.098471 169.191240 264.695847 436.296174 754.818774 1457.998333
2025-06-22 73.116483 107.911144 162.486806 259.154985 437.610527 780.259383 1571.833284
2025-06-29 69.159057 103.432918 158.153476 257.204589 445.161667 818.845843 1724.122391
2025-07-06 63.684685 96.243414 148.957870 246.036985 434.359915 819.486955 1789.682193
2025-07-13 62.215929 95.502467 150.540493 254.581232 463.334979 909.318336 2104.278088
2025-07-20 61.097756 95.236093 152.867417 264.686033 496.816840 1015.462044 2497.888583
2025-07-27 58.561459 92.376897 150.395657 265.296872 510.372124 1078.073441 2789.394078
2025-08-03 55.216641 87.909087 144.712583 259.027055 508.118885 1102.005822 2971.347331
2025-08-10 52.336165 84.079847 139.921396 254.094461 508.222957 1131.923452 3183.610053
2025-08-17 51.322085 83.478081 141.015034 261.262213 536.972788 1241.910461 3712.882669
2025-08-24 49.346492 81.028418 138.461748 260.543657 547.015916 1303.533979 4094.598629
2025-08-31 47.028011 77.825659 134.260566 255.919341 546.977642 1336.885537 4382.167775
2025-09-07 45.460971 75.913503 132.417295 256.238433 559.280019 1408.793149 4862.420065
2025-09-14 43.349114 72.879420 128.190597 250.914537 556.527758 1434.920163 5157.700610